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Monday 30 December 2013

World Projection - on China's Economic Rise

China, a nation of whooping 1.35 billion will continue to have tremendous growth in the next few years. During the course of last century decade, China has nearly quadripled in every economic sector, and my prediction is that it will continue the growth rate until for at least a small durations before hitting easing period in momentum/velocity.  

The international economy has this property in nature: taking the win requires a greater or at least up-par figures in amount - all conflicts, competitions and competitiveness will be determined by figures; it all comes down to figures as some experts of earlier times has secretly written.  Taking whether decent and solid understanding of this valueble principle or not can result in the outcome of big loss or big wins.  The same principle can be found in Texas Hold'em Poker - the one with a sufficient chip lead could use the chip lead to fraud, defraud, desensitize, and many other spells tossed at the lesser chip holder.  The probability of the lesser chip holder's chance of winning matches almost exactly to that of international commerce warfare. The one with lesser chip either has to get really lucky andor have tremendous upper hand in abilities. Or else, like predicted smooth sailing downward overtimeloss of typical attrittion warfare, the one with lesser figures suffer from an few additional suffering: shortage of funds, lack of flow available cash, plus being the first one much more likely to bust/touch bankruptcy.

Warfare between giant nations works out quite similar to two titans, one slightly bigger than the other in dimension, fighting each other in metallic giant tincanman fashion - throwing punches at one another repeatly.  Until one bursts down, the ground shocks and other disturbance would continue to emit out from the centre location outward, causing vibrational turbulance changes to nearbys, with ratio scaling of 1:1/x approximately of distance to shockish received.

For the small guy, they exist like lice, one should do what a lice would do - hopping around in advanteous instantaneous timely opportunities and whatnot.  Though the lice is no match when fighting the titans, titans' lack of weaponry for anti-lice may just give the ultimate lice the edge for survival and great gains.  In real life metaphor, an aircraft carrier though can take out a cruiser fairly easily, but it has problem targetting insurgents in urban apartment hideouts.

China's rise will be continuous. Though like reported in USA news networks, many cities suffer from disorganization, water and air pollution, traffic jam and other common city problems, its future economic power alone makes the stated problems not so much of a great deal. Its agriculture sector remains stable and  solid and has great disaster prevention and other safety mechanisms.  Its industry is very well-rounded and fairly technological advanced in some parts. Its military is world class and may exceed that of Pentagon soon, a slight possibility at the least - though some of the biased newspapers refuse to show them in the right light.  For any nation, a volumnous economy mass matched with technology advantage will spell victory in its future negotiations, and China is included in this line.



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